Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.336871 0.392494 0.454592 0.529095 0.616111 0.714604 0.834660
2025-01-26 0.259561 0.335730 0.430163 0.556033 0.719750 0.925963 1.206218
2025-02-02 0.219177 0.304500 0.418154 0.581026 0.809217 1.118728 1.572482
2025-02-09 0.189441 0.278914 0.405259 0.597341 0.883321 1.295493 1.938625
2025-02-16 0.164598 0.254747 0.388607 0.602773 0.938855 1.449429 2.290512
2025-02-23 0.143162 0.231617 0.368960 0.598927 0.977156 1.579466 2.621130
2025-03-02 0.123159 0.207397 0.343581 0.581199 0.989027 1.666875 2.892308
2025-03-09 0.113164 0.197856 0.340061 0.597986 1.058796 1.856252 3.359606
2025-03-16 0.102230 0.185060 0.329103 0.599928 1.102169 2.004600 3.773648
2025-03-23 0.094314 0.176427 0.324042 0.611195 1.162891 2.190191 4.280320
2025-03-30 0.084355 0.162696 0.307951 0.599643 1.178896 2.294134 4.643696
2025-04-06 0.076523 0.151960 0.296018 0.594235 1.205494 2.420628 5.067821
2025-04-13 0.070362 0.143893 0.288549 0.597340 1.250846 2.592734 5.616991
2025-04-20 0.067682 0.142521 0.294183 0.628000 1.357424 2.904537 6.511994
2025-04-27 0.064949 0.140657 0.298501 0.656299 1.462529 3.226728 7.477562
2025-05-04 0.061550 0.136913 0.298361 0.674776 1.548301 3.517794 8.415193
2025-05-11 0.057459 0.131119 0.293061 0.680928 1.606747 3.754823 9.260250
2025-05-18 0.052991 0.123912 0.283750 0.676572 1.639901 3.937355 9.999333
2025-05-25 0.047898 0.114634 0.268627 0.656494 1.632491 4.022064 10.504725
2025-06-01 0.045862 0.112376 0.269572 0.675507 1.724077 4.360855 11.719628
2025-06-08 0.042959 0.107649 0.264063 0.677706 1.773254 4.599450 12.703643
2025-06-15 0.040907 0.104793 0.262771 0.690467 1.851547 4.923326 13.971128
2025-06-22 0.037654 0.098485 0.252124 0.677383 1.859072 5.060810 14.733784